As the country heads towards the December 2024 general elections, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, the flagbearer of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) appears to be in a strong position to win the Presidential race, according to the latest survey by Outcomes International, Ghana.
According to a recent survey, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is leading with 49.4% compared to John Dramani Mahama, the National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate with 45.1%.
The data reveals a notable regional divide, with Bawumia showing strong support in key areas, positioning the NPP for potential victory in the upcoming elections.
The Survey
The survey was conducted from August 15 and September 15, 2024 and interviewed over 65,000 registered voters, puts the National Democratic Congress (NDC) in second place. The findings highlight that the NPP is favored to win in key regions.
The survey revealed that Dr. Bawumia is leading 11 regions out of the 16 regions in the country, while John Dramani is leading in the remaining 5 regions.
NPP’s Strong Hold
Ashanti Region
Dr. Bawumia’s strongest support was seen in the Ashanti Region, where 63.7% of voters favor him as their presidential candidate. This comes as no surprise given the Ashanti Region’s long-standing loyalty to the NPP.
According to the survey, Bawumia holds a slight lead in the Greater Accra Regionwith 45.2% of the vote while Mahama trails behind with 45.0%.
The race appears to be closer in another region particularly in the Western North Region, where the NPP is projected to win 47.1% with the NDC close behind at 45.9%.
Eastern Region
Dr. Bawumia also leads in the Eastern Region, where he has 60.4% of voter support his appeal in this region, combined with his strong showing in the Bono, Bono East, and Ahafo Regions, places the NPP in a solid position heading into the election.
In addition, the report indicated that Dr. Bawumia is likely to lead in the Northern Region, with 53.8% votes while John Mahama takes 45.0% of the votes.
NDC Stronghold
Despite Bawumia’s dominance, John Dramani Mahama retains firm control over his stronghold, the Volta Region, where he commands 73.1% of the vote. The Volta Region has historically been a base of support for the NDC, and this trend is expected to continue in 2024 per the report.
Mahama also leads in the Upper West Region, where 58.1% of voters favor him over Bawumia with 40.9%
In the Upper East Region, the NDC is set to win with 61.6% of the vote, compared to the NPP’s votes of 37.6%.
The Flagbearers
The flagbearers of the two dominant political parties (NPP & NDC) are both from the Northern part of the country. The NPP is determined to break the usual eight-year cyclical rule with a Muslim sitting Vice-President.
The NDC is presenting a former President who lost in both the 2016 and 2020 general elections.
